Gemini 3 rolled out at the end of 2025, and I spent my winter break exploring how to integrate AI things into my life and work. It is really pretty awesome and helps my life and work run very efficiently.
I read this post on X this morning.
I also recalled Trump said that the 2020 election was a total FRAUD! The evidence is MASSIVE and OVERWHELMING. As a result, I really want to dive into this topic and get my own independent insight. I also believe this would be very useful for me to understand the serial information when more evidence or news rolls out this year.
Actually, I just want to have a quick understanding. I learned the basic concepts after a quick chat with Gemini as follows:
VAP (Voting-Age Population): Everyone residing in the U.S. aged 18+. This includes non-citizens and is the “noisiest” metric.
VEP (Voting-Eligible Population): Citizens 18+ who are not legally disqualified (e.g., by felony convictions in some states). This is considered the “gold standard” for measuring turnout.
CVAP (Citizen Voting Age Population): The metric used by the Census to estimate the pool of potential voters.
From there, it easily directed my thinking flow to the “total vote cast” in the 2020 presidential election, in which Trump always claimed it was stolen by Biden. Gemini quickly shared two facts:
The California Discrepancy: Notice the ~5.5 million person gap between VAP (total adults) and CVAP (citizens). This is one of the primary reasons why “total population” is rarely used as a baseline for voting investigations; it includes millions of residents who are legally unable to register.
The Minnesota Model: Minnesota has one of the smallest gaps between VEP and Total Votes cast (roughly 80% turnout). Investigators often point to Minnesota’s Same-Day Registration policy as the primary reason why their “registered population” stays so closely in sync with their “eligible population.”
Actually, the explanation is reasonable and nothing can support the evidence regarding “election fraud”. My next step is to ask Gemini to pull out the KEY statistics for swing stats, adding California and Minnesota:
| State | VAP (Total 18+) | CVAP (Citizens 18+) | VEP (Eligible) | Total Votes Cast | Turnout Rate (of VEP) |
| Minnesota | 4,374,271 | 4,120,535 | 4,118,462 | 3,292,997 | 79.9% |
| Wisconsin | 4,605,554 | 4,465,000 | 4,410,780 | 3,310,000 | 75.0% |
| Michigan | 7,887,066 | 7,624,000 | 7,615,249 | 5,579,317 | 73.3% |
| North Carolina | 8,172,894 | 7,732,000 | 7,811,002 | 5,545,848 | 71.0% |
| Pennsylvania | 10,307,289 | 9,944,000 | 9,950,392 | 6,958,551 | 69.9% |
| California | 30,736,819 | 25,283,570 | 25,962,648 | 17,785,151 | 68.5% |
| Georgia | 8,207,471 | 7,716,000 | 7,490,838 | 5,023,159 | 67.1% |
| Arizona | 5,616,003 | 5,174,000 | 5,133,804 | 3,420,585 | 66.6% |
| Nevada | 2,429,643 | 2,171,000 | 2,191,188 | 1,407,754 | 64.2% |
Sources: UF Election Lab (VEP/VAP), U.S. Census Bureau (CVAP), and Official 2020 State Certification Reports.
My next thought is query Gemini to conduct an investigation to clarify my understanding of “2020 Presidential Election Fraud”. Here is my conversation (prompts) using the “deep research” tool in Pro mode.
Using these numbers and stats from the attached file. Please do a deep research and fact checks about Trump said “2020 election was a total FRAUD! The evidence is MASSIVE and OVERWHELMING.” Please demonstrate your evidences and reaisng lead to your conclusions
Pease prioritize the stats, such as VAP, CVAP, VEP, total votes cast, trun out rate. If you find new metrics, it is OK if you think it is reasonable. Do not forget your role is a general attorney who is responsible for reproducing a just and objective investigative report based on facts.
I quickly went through Gemini’s investigative report. The link is provided for anyone who is interested. In fact, the numbers are not fake, and the cited references also really exist. But I found a thing: all the numbers would be INVALID If the voting machines were rigged, if the signatures weren’t checked, and if poll workers colluded to ignore ID laws.
My insight is that the number is real, but the process is questioned. I believe this is the main reason for the arguments that the current administration holds. We will see how the evidence will be laid out in the near future. MY final word is: AI is really a thing and helpful.
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